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Fon Math 2008 (repost with more info)

May 21, 2008

It’s been over two years since Fon’s Official Launch on Feb 6th, 2006. The two-year anniversary passed without any news or fanfare, besides my own blog post. Today Martin Varsavsky has released some general figures about Fon’s current size, income and expenses. I’m assuming these are worldwide aggregate figures, with no omissions:

  • Total number of registered Foneros: 830,000
  • Total number of registered Fon hotspots: 332,000
  • Number of recently active Fon hotspots: 212,000
  • Fon monthly revenues: €100,000
  • Fon monthly cash burn (forecast): €350,000
  • Fon employees, worldwide, 2 years from launch: 61

Martin hopes to count 300,000 active hotspots by the end of 2008, though He does not say if this includes “partner” network hotspots. He states that cash burn was still €450,000 last month, and expects profitability by the end of 4th quarter, 2009.

It is interesting how Martin describes 61 employees as a good thing – his spin is that “so few” people have managed “so much” progress. However, this just tends to shed some light on Fon’s notably poor customer service. Fon actually had nearly 100 employees last year, and I’ve just learned that Fon is closing their Swedish and Korean offices, reducing staff in France, and firing one of the two USA employees, for a loss of 14 more employees.

The two USA employees are Joanna Reeves, and English Forum Moderator/Official Fon Blogger Steve Ross. This last item is a great concern to us who support the Fonero community through the forums, for Steve has worked hard and been very successful in restoring civility there after the damage caused by that Moderfon person. Gutting the USA staff like this is a surprising and devastating decision, especially since two years ago, the USA became, or almost became, the home of the largest group of Foneros.

Some more interesting facts from Cincodias:

  • Investor financing in 2006: €18M
  • Investor financing in 2007: €10M
  • Investor financing in 2008: €6M

It’s surprising how Martin Varsavsky promises that Fon will continue to grow and succeed, when the last two years, especially the last several months, have seen so many Fon leaders quit by their own decision.

Reprising my blog adventure on Jan 21, 2007, I’ve downloaded the POI files (.CSV format) from maps.fon.com, to compare with today’s new statistics and see how up-to-date they are. The 90 POI files have grown to 172, representing single regions as large as the USA and the Russian Federation, and as small as Ascension Island and Liechtensten! Some places i’ve never heard of, like “Iles” and “Burkina Faso”. “Serbia and Montenegro” is in the list twice; one of those entries actually seems to download the POI of Yugoslavia.

Most of the POI files are 1k or 2k, and opening them up shows they’re mainly just the results of punching in random words and letters when registering routers. This bogus data really should have been edited out years ago, and the POI dropdown list could use some quality control!

It took me a while, but I appended all of the files together as one, and opened it for a record count:

  • Total number of POI indexed hotspots: 198,366 !

Keep in mind that the POI lists still contain many hotspots which no longer appear as icons on the map, due to long periods of inactivity. The map itself contains numerous “inactive spot” icons, which includes hotspots that have been dead for months or years… So even with hundreds or thousands of junk records in the POI, why does it still fall so far short of Martin Varsavsky’s statement of 212,000 active hotspots?!?!?! With no publicly-accessible data to back up Martin’s claims, these numbers are hard to prove credible.

ADDITION 1:

Top 20 Fonero Countries:

  1. 36,366 FR – France
  2. 33,421 JP – Japan
  3. 26,082 DE – Germany
  4. 15,512 ES – Spain
  5. 14,205 US – United States
  6. 12,306 IT – Italy
  7. 11,060 TW – Taiwan
  8. 9,237 SE – Sweden
  9. 6,296 KR – South Korea
  10. 6,494 NL – Netherlands
  11. 4,011 UK – United Kingdom
  12. 3,369 HK – Hong Kong
  13. 2,811 FI – Finland
  14. 2,438 PT – Portugal
  15. 2,496 CN – China
  16. 2,017 AT – Austria
  17. 1,814 DK – Denmark
  18. 1,531 BE – Belgium
  19. 1,199 HU – Hungary
  20. 980 CA – Canada
  • POI/Countries with 1000 or more records: 19
  • 101-999 records: 14
  • 51-100 records: 9
  • 5-50 records: 42
  • 1-4 records:91

It’s perplexing why Fon would reduce staff in France, when this is the largest group of Foneros, why Fon would close Sweden and Korea when they are both in the top 10, and why Fon Russia would get so much recent news when they have only 23 hotspots!

Steve Ross has written me to let me know that his Fon schedule remains full at this time, and he has received no indication that he may be let go. The La Fonera 2 Beta Test has not been cancelled, though Steve says the hardware apparently did not ship as expected yet. Fon has experienced a number of unspecified changes, which Steve feels has addressed some of the most-complained about areas.

ADDITION 2:

I’ve been using a web-spider program to test the age of Fon’s POI files. Though Fon Maps makes downloading the POI a 3-stage process “select, create, download”, they are not really generated on demand. I had expected to find that they were several months out of date, and thus, my analysis above would be simply irrelevant. Alternately, I thought I might find that the files always test to be a certain age, no matter what time they are checked. This would be dependent on Fon’s web server, and could suggest that an age difference was merely due to a difference between the clock on my PC and theirs. However, at the time of this edit, Fon’s POI files appear to be 2.5 days old and growing! Since this is too much time to be a clock offset, and too little to explain the differences with Martin’s claims, I am reasonably confident that this is the file’s true age.

Another excellent source of Fon statistics is Francofon’s Fon Maps. I am told that they update their figures every night, and use data from Fon’s own POIs (or perhaps direct database access?). However, they come up with considerably different figures than I got directly from Fon Maps! FrancoFon lists 144 countries, instead of 172. They count 206,886 registered Fon hotspots, not 332,000 or 198,366. FrancoFon has determined that 95,324 Fon hotspots are active, (but who knows if they are accessible?) not 212,000. When the statistics include Neuf and Livedoor hotspots, who are “partner” wifi networks, (though not fully reciprocal to the Fon Network’s members) the numbers come closer to Martin’s claims.

This suggests that Martin is including these, and probably British Telcom and other “partner” networks, in his statement. This practice certainly makes the Fon Network look bigger and more active, but is it reasonable and honest?

ADDITION 3: It’s May 24, and Fon’s POI files now appear to be 5.5 days old, so it looks like they were indeed built late Sunday/early Monday. Now we’ll be keeping an eye out to see if they build weekly, monthly or whenever.

ADDITION 4: It’s May 26, and Fon’s POI files now appear to be 7.5 hours old. Therefore, it would appear that they are currently being generated once a week, Mondays at 1:30 AM CST (Sundays at 20:30 GMT). There are still 172 POI files/countries to download, and “Serbia and Montenegro” is still listed twice.

ADDITION 5: May 27. Concatenating all of the new POI files and counting the records/hotspots results in a total of 199,614 for an increase of 1,248 hotspots in one week. Interestingly, the overall filesize is 87,956 bytes smaller than last week. However, as of this addition, FrancoFON finds 96,170 active hotspots, an increase of only 846 over last week… Have 402 new hotspots already been binned?


Fon Celebrates Two Years of Celebration

February 6, 2008

Fon’s official launch was two years ago today.

Fon is the world’s largest wifi network (pending public examination of Fon’s definitions and statistics).

Yay, Fon!


Fon Boards Welcomes New Moderator

May 23, 2007

Today we were delighted to learn that Steve Ross, Fon’s English Blogger will now become Moderator of Fon’s English-language discussion board. Ross is an accomplished blogger, Internet entrepreneur, a native speaker of English, and has been a very helpful and courtious presence in the board using the screen name ”Ross“.

We will now find Ross also using the “moderator” screen name, and overseen by US/UK staff; Ms. Dale Taormino (US Business Development and Marketing) and Joanna Reeves (CEO of Fon USA). Dale and Joanna will leave the daily moderation up to Ross, but may step up to the podium from time to time with official guidance.

The moderator known as “Moderfon“ is looking forward to having more time to spend with his family.

Ross will also continue to serve as Fon Blogger, and will be reevaluating the discussion board as a resource to Foneros. We recently observed the posting of written “Board Rules“, and Ross will be surveying the posters for their input on what rules are necessary, which may perhaps result in a Community-backed revision.

Folks on the grapevine may allready be aware of a petition to compose and submit a “Fonero Bill of Rights”, in response to poor wording and vague definitions in those “Board Rules”. This “Bill” would clearly list activities which are not banned, even if the “Rules” were otherwise unclear. Ross is aware of this movement, and has expressed interest in adopting language of that type for additional moderation policy.